Peace comes when the losing side determines it cause is hopeless

Spengler:
Humiliation – the only path to peace for the Middle East

President Trump's recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of the State of Israel will be as a stab in the heart to the Arab World. But anything else would be to succor Arab hopes that Israel might some day be defeated and eliminated
One of the reasons Obama was such a spectacular failure as President was that he kept giving the losers hope and therefore extending the conflict beyond a time when it could have been resolved by demonstrating that their cause is hopeless.
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Wars end not when the loser is defeated, but rather when the loser is humiliated. Throughout history, as I argued in a 2016 survey of ancient and modern wars, losers have fought on until they lack the manpower to fill their depleted ranks. Typically that occurs after 30% of military-age men are dead, as in France during the Napoleonic Wars, the South in the American Civil War, or Germany in the Second World War. The losing side will not abandon hostilities until all those who want to fight to the death have had the opportunity to do so — unless it is humiliated before the physical exhaustion of its resources has run its course.
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History supports this conclusion, but some historians choose to ignore it because it does not fit their preferred narrative of a compromise to end wars.  The premature peacemakers contribute to the continuation of hostilities.

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