Continued decline in blue state populations will give red states more electoral college votes

The Hill:
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The new 2017 Census estimates can be used to give us a year-over-year change from 2016 or, alternatively, estimates can be based on a longer-trend line. The data gives a nice summary of estimates for congressional seat changes after the 2020 Census.
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The state with the largest downside risk appears to be Illinois, which will lose one congressional seat in 2020 and is in danger of being the only state in the U.S. to lose two seats.

Illinois suffered the largest net population loss of any state in the past year, and due to that loss, it was overtaken by Pennsylvania this year as the fifth-largest state in the country. Major tax increases passed in 2017 will certainly not help this downward economic spiral.

The 2017 Census estimates also contain some troubling news for the nation’s largest state, California. While the 2010 Census was the first in state history to not add an additional congressional seat, 2020 could be worse for the Golden State.

Some current projections show high-tax California is on the bubble to actually lose a congressional seat in 2020 — a shocking development for a state that gained seven seats between 1980 and 1990 alone.

For history buffs, it is possible that high-tax Rhode Island will lose one of its two congressional seats in 2020. That will be the first time since 1789 that Rhode Island only has one congressional seat.

Meanwhile, another state with extremely high tax burdens, New York, is set to lose yet another seat in 2020, the eighth census in a row that the Empire State has forfeited seats. Going back to the 1940 Census, New York is currently down 18 congressional seats on net. The new count in 2020 would add to that alarming trend.

On a more optimistic note, a duo of no-income tax states (a key factor in economic competitiveness), Florida and Texas, are the likely big winners in 2020. Current projections have Florida gaining two new seats, with Texas likely set to gain two to three new seats.
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This means it will be even harder for Democrats to win after 2020. 

It has been said that the poor remain poor because they keep doing the things that make them poor.  That can also be said for the blue states who continue to embrace the policies that have made people leave them.  The blue states become even bluer as more responsible people leave the mess made by liberalism and high tax policies which only increases their downward spiral.

The Texas model is the winning formula and it has been embraced by Gov. Rick Scott in Florida which is seeing a similar population increase.  Oregon is the only blue state showing a population increase and it is probably getting most of its growth from people leaving California and Washington.  Some in Oregon are worried about a population decrease as people have to pump their own gas.

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